Nevada political analyst and columnist Jon Ralston predicts that Vice President Kamala Harris will narrowly win the swing state on Tuesday thanks to independent voters.

In a blog post on Monday, Ralston, the editor of The Nevada Independent who is known for his predictions, said he hopes Harris beats the former president donald trump 48.5 percent to 48.2 percent, and 3.3 percent of the total vote went to other candidates.

Ralston wrote in his prediction that “the key to this election has always been which way non-major party voters break because they have become the plurality in the state.”

“They will make up about 30 percent of the electorate and if they lean enough toward Harris, she will win Nevada,” Ralston wrote, adding, “I think they will.”

According to 538, as of Monday Nevada is considered a tie between Harris and Trump, with the former president leading by just 0.3 points on average in state polls.

This is a developing story that will be updated as information becomes available.