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Hurricane season is about to wake up again
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Hurricane season is about to wake up again

Halloween may be over, but hurricane season still has some disturbing tricks left in its final month.

Three problematic tropical zones deserve to be observed in the Atlantic basin in the coming days as strange hurricane season continues to defy expectations.

One of these problem areas is located in the western Caribbean and has a high chance of becoming a tropical depression late this weekend or early next weekend, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Once it develops, it could become a tropical storm. But exactly when and where a tropical depression develops in the coming days will have major implications for where it might head next.

The next tropical storm to form will be named Patty, followed by Rafael and Sara.

It is still too early to know the exact path the potential storm could take, but the system could drift toward the Gulf of Mexico. Heavy rain and perhaps some gusts of wind are likely in the western Caribbean, parts of Central America and Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula next week.

Tropical development is possible in three areas over the next week. - CNN WeatherTropical development is possible in three areas over the next week. - CNN Weather

Tropical development is possible in three areas over the next week. – CNN Weather

The US Gulf Coast could finally have some atmospheric protection on its side after multiple devastating hurricanes this season. Stormy upper-level winds are expected to establish over the Gulf next week and could destroy any system that reaches the region.

Two other areas could be developed in the next week.

Stormy weather that brought record The rain that reached Puerto Rico on Thursday and drenched parts of the northeastern Caribbean on Friday has a small window to organize into a tropical system as it slides westward in the coming days. Regardless of the development, it could lead to additional flooding in Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands and Hispaniola over the weekend and into next week.

The other area is located in the open Atlantic and, while it has medium development possibilities, it is unlikely to pose a threat to the land.

November to stay active

Hurricane season normally ends in November, but this year has already proven to be anything but typical.

This season is above average in terms of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger).

Five hurricanes hit the US this year even though the season took a big break and confused the experts, during what should have been the busiest part of the year.

So it’s no surprise that this November it looks like the trend will continue. While November storms do form, they generally do so much less frequently, and those that hit the United States are exceptionally rare.

At least 125 tropical storms and hurricanes have hit the Atlantic in November since the late 19th century, according to data from NOAA. Ninety-eight percent of named storms make landfall in the United States before November, according to hurricane expert Michael Lowry.

Storms that form in November tend to do so in the Caribbean and the southwestern and central parts of the Atlantic, where warm water persists longer and the winds that disrupt storms tend to be weaker. The Gulf of Mexico is not a common source of tropical problems in a typical November because storm-disrupting winds become stronger over the area in late fall.

For something tropical to form and remain active in the Gulf, it would likely need a boost provided by extremely warm water. The Gulf is not as hot as it was when it fed Helene and Milton, but it is still warmer than average for November.

Beyond the possibilities of development in the coming days, the Caribbean could remain a tropical point until the second half of November, according to the Climate Prediction Center.

Hurricane season officially ends on November 30, but tropical systems are not tied to that date. About two dozen tropical storms and hurricanes have hit the basin in December since the late 19th century.

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