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Final polls show Donald Trump’s chances of losing Florida
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Final polls show Donald Trump’s chances of losing Florida

With five days until Election Day, final Florida polls unlikely to shake donald trumpthe confidence of winning the Sunshine State, which has not voted Democratic since 2012.

While the Republican The candidate was hoping for some reaction after a speaker at one of his New York rallies infamously compared Puerto Rico to a “floating island of garbage,” Trump appears to have maintained his marginal lead over Kamala Harris in Florida, according to a Cygnal poll that places him five points ahead of Harris.

The survey, conducted between October 26 and 28 and shared with Florida Politics on Wednesday, covered last Sunday, when comedian and broadcaster Tony Hinchcliffe He made the racist joke in front of a stunned audience. The comment, which sparked outrage across the country, could have been particularly consequential in Florida, which has the second-highest concentration of Puerto Rican voters (5.4 percent) after Connecticut (7.9 percent), according to data from 2023 US Census Bureau compiled by Axios. .

donald trump
Former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump dances as he leaves a campaign rally in Rocky Mount, North Carolina, on October 30, 2024.

CHANDAN KHANNA/AFP via Getty Images

In Florida, the Republican senator Rick Scott and Representatives María Elvira Salazar and Carlos Giménez quickly condemned the comment performed by comedian and podcast host Hinchcliffe, who The Trump campaign has also distanced itself from.

But according to the Cygnal poll, Trump has emerged relatively unscathed from the unfortunate event, as he maintains his lead among Puerto Ricans and other Hispanic voters in the Sunshine State.

The poll gives him the support of 50 percent of Hispanic voters, an improvement from his 46 percent in 2020. But while he leads by 10 points among Hispanics, his lead narrows to just two points among Puerto Ricans.

Overall, the poll puts Trump ahead of Harris by 48 to 43 percent. About 5 percent of likely voters are still undecided. The former president also has an advantage among undecided voters: an estimated 35 percent support him, compared to 32 percent who support Harris.

As much as the polls continue to favor Trump, his lead in the Cygnal poll appears diminished compared to a few weeks and months ago, and the gap between the two candidates is narrowing. But other recently published surveys paint a much more optimistic picture for the former president.

According to the latest national poll from Florida Atlantic University’s Public Opinion and Political Communication Research Laboratory (PolCom Lab) and Mainstreet Research USA, released Tuesday, Trump leads Harris in Florida by 53 to 44 percent among voters. likely voters (+9).

A poll conducted by ActiVote among 400 likely voters between October 11 and 27 and released Monday shows Trump leading Harris by 11.6 percent in the Sunshine State.