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Trump sweeps Michigan and other undecided states and catapults himself to the Oval Office
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Trump sweeps Michigan and other undecided states and catapults himself to the Oval Office

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Former Republican President Donald Trump on Wednesday completed perhaps the most miraculous political turnaround in American history, riding a wave of populist support and distaste for inflation and illegal immigration to overcome his 2020 defeat and ongoing legal challenges to win the elections. elections as the nation’s 47th chief executive.

Michigan, a key swing state, was called by the former president by the Associated Press shortly before 1 pm on Wednesday. Hours earlier, Trump was declared the national winner over Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, and the victory in Michigan gave him at least 292 Electoral College votes, 22 more than needed to declare victory, according to the AP’s unofficial count. , with victories also in the key swing states of Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

In Michigan, with 98% of the estimated votes counted, Trump was leading with 49.7% to Harris’ 48.3%.

“Look what happened. Is this crazy?” Trump told a crowd of supporters in Florida early Wednesday morning, calling the effort that gave him victory “the greatest political move of all time.” Having made good on promises that he would institute mass deportations of undocumented immigrants and impose strict tariffs on imported goods as a way to boost manufacturing and “make America great again,” Trump said his victory, along with a new majority Republican in the United States Senate, amounted to “a powerful and unprecedented mandate.”

It was a valid claim, given that Trump appeared to have also won the national popular vote, a feat that eluded him in 2016, when he narrowly defeated Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin to win the Electoral College. Four years later, he lost those states, as well as Arizona and Georgia, to Democrat Joe Biden, who became president despite Trump’s false claims that the election had been fraudulent.

Upon winning, Trump repudiated Democratic accusations of his efforts to overturn that election, leading him to be impeached and criminally charged over allegations he incited against a mob of supporters who attacked the U.S. Capitol as Congress was meeting to certify the election. of Biden on January 6, 2021. − made him unfit to hold office and put himself in the position of radically changing the American bureaucracy, just as he has remade the Republican Party in his populist image.

Across the country, Trump appeared to outperform Harris in key congressional districts and on the issues that defined the election. Exit polls indicated that among Michigan voters, nearly two-thirds described the economy as “not that good and not that poor.” Among those voters, 73% preferred Trump.NBC News reported.

And while 34% of Michigan voters considered “the state of democracy” their top issue (and Harris was winning with 82% of those voters, compared to Trump’s 17%), the foot survey ballot box indicated that 39% considered immigration or the economy to be their main issue. main issue and overwhelmingly supported the former president with 77% or more. Abortion rights, which Democrats used to motivate voters, were mentioned by 17% of voters as their top issue. Voters who named abortion rights as their top issue favored Harris, but by a smaller margin than those who favored Trump on other issues.

Democrats had attacked Trump on abortion because he had previously run as an opponent of the practice and nominated three conservative U.S. Supreme Court justices who voted with a conservative majority two years ago to overturn abortion guarantees in the U.S. Roe vs. Wade of 1973, handing the issue back to the states. In Michigan, voters enshrined abortion protections in the state constitution in 2022. In this year’s presidential election, Trump and other Republicans showed up saying they would do nothing to repeal those state protections.

In Michigan, another key issue appeared to be concern about Biden and Democrats’ push to promote the production and sale of electric vehicles, which Republicans said amounted to an “EV mandate.” Although there is actually no mandate, the issue resonated with voters according to poll results; Trump has said he will get rid of those rules that would push automakers to make and sell more electric vehicles, which could spur the production and sale of more gasoline-powered vehicles.

“What was unique to Michigan was this whole electric vehicle thing,” said Michigan Republican Party Chairman Pete Hoekstra, who was Trump’s pick to rescue the beleaguered state GOP several months ago and won a surprising victory in the state. He said that once Michigan Republicans fully recognized how the adoption of electric vehicles could result in fewer auto jobs and antipathy in the state toward such a change, they took it to the Trump campaign, which made it its own.

“We saw how powerful the political message was… That’s what fracking was like in Pennsylvania. Michiganders looked at it and said these are our jobs,” Hoekstra said, adding that immigration and inflation were two other important issues.

Another, he said, was foreign conflicts, with Russia at war in Ukraine and Israel fighting Hamas and Hezbollah in Gaza and Lebanon. Leaning heavily on his claim that he avoided any involvement in foreign wars while president, Trump suggested he could end both conflicts. And while many in Michigan’s Arab-American and Muslim communities said they couldn’t support Harris since she, like Biden, refused to call more forcefully for an Israeli ceasefire, Trump was able to court some of those same voters, while others split from the Green Party candidate. Jill Stein.

In Dearborn, the center of Michigan’s large Arab-American and Muslim communities, Trump won 42% to Harris’ 36%. Stein got 18%. Four years ago in Dearborn, Biden won with 69% of the vote.

But Trump didn’t just improve his results in those communities. In Detroit, the state’s largest city and one with a larger black majority than almost any other city in the country, Harris, who is running to become the first woman, the first black woman and the first woman of South Asian descent In becoming president, she saw her share of votes drop compared to Biden’s four years ago. In 2020, Biden won 94% of Detroit’s votes, compared to Trump’s 5%. This year, Harris got 90% to Trump’s 8%.

Exit polls indicated that among the 79% of Michigan voters who were white, Trump won between 54% and 44%. And although Harris won among black voters, between 90% and 9%, that number was slightly lower than Biden’s figure from four years ago. Trump did even better among black men, winning 12% of that bloc. And among the 6% of Michigan voters who were Hispanic, Trump won between 62% and 35%.

Among the 38% of voters with a college degree, Harris won between 56% and 43%. Among the 62% without a college degree, Trump won between 54% and 44%.

“We lost,” said U.S. Rep. Debbie Dingell, D-Ann Arbor, who won re-election but had warned that the presidential election would be close. “There is a message for us as Democrats and we have to listen to it. The people spoke. We have to respect the integrity of the system.” He also acknowledged that it was immigration, the economy and the situation in the Middle East that influenced the elections in Michigan.

Jonathan Hanson, a statistics professor at the University of Michigan School of Public Policy, said Harris couldn’t outdo Trump’s messaging on those key issues, especially the economy and immigration, and pointed to Macomb County as an example of how Trump appeals to workers. workers.

In 2020, Trump defeated Biden in Macomb County by about 40,000 votes, winning the swing county 53% to 45%. This year, he widened his lead there, winning by nearly 70,000 votes, or 56%-42%.

And that trend was seen throughout the state. Harris won Kent, a key county in western Michigan, but she slightly underperformed Biden there. The same thing happened in Washtenaw County, a solidly Democratic county; In Oakland County, Harris won 54% to 44%, but that was 2 percentage points worse than Biden, and Trump saw his support increase by 2 points there. Trump also defeated Saginaw County, a bellwether county that predicted the statewide winner in presidential races dating back to 1992.

Inflation, which has slowed but still outpaced wage increases during Biden’s years in office, and immigration were “clearly two important issues,” Hanson said. “It appears that neither the Biden campaign nor the Harris campaign ever received clear messages on this.” (which) helped them present their case.”

Detroit Free Press writer Arpan Lobo contributed to this report.

Contact Todd Spangler: [email protected]. Follow him on Twitter@tsspangler.