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    • Emerson/The Hill Swing State Presidential Election Poll: View Results
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    Emerson/The Hill Swing State Presidential Election Poll: View Results

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    Final swing state poll by Emerson College/The Hill shows Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris locked in a tight race for the White House as candidates vie for victory in key battlegrounds.

    The poll showed Harris leading in Michigan, while Trump had leads in Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Arizona. The candidates were statistically tied in Nevada and Wisconsin, although all polls were within each poll’s margin of error.

    The findings arrive in the middle a series of national surveys who continue to predict a race that is too close to predict. Meanwhile, Harris found leading Trump in Iowaan unexpected change in a state where both Democrats and Republicans believed that Trump’s victory was practically certain.

    like the candidates race to the finish line, Triumph held a rally in North Carolina before heading to Pennsylvania for two campaign stops and ending the day in Michigan. Meanwhile, Harris will conclude her campaign in Pennsylvania with rallies in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, followed by a concert in Allentown.

    What are the undecided states? See the latest polls for places likely to decide the election

    Emerson’s final swing state polls show close race

    The final turning state Emerson College Polling/The Hill pollsreleased Monday, continue to predict a race that will go down to the wire in seven battleground states.

    In Michigan, a poll of 790 people showed Harris with a two-point lead over former President Trump, 50% to 48%, with a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.

    The race is close in Nevada and Wisconsin. A survey of 840 people showed a tie of 48% in Nevada (with a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points), while 800 respondents in Wisconsin showed a tie between both candidates of 49% (margin of error of 3.3 percentage points). 4%).

    Trump has a one-point lead in Georgia (50% to 49%), North Carolina (49% to 48%) and Pennsylvania (49% to 48%), where 800, 860 and 1,000 people were surveyed, respectively. Those findings were within the margin of error in each survey, which ranged from 3 percentage points to 3.4%.

    In Arizona, a poll of 900 voters showed Trump leading Harris by 50% to 48%, still within a 3.2% margin of error.

    The surveys were conducted from Wednesday to Saturday.

    New York Times/Siena Poll of 7 Battleground States Shows Harris’ Possible Path to Victory

    The final list of surveys The New York Times and Siena College They were released on Sunday, showing Harris ahead in Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin and Georgia. Trump and Harris were tied in Pennsylvania and Michigan, while Trump was ahead in Arizona, although all results were within the margin of error.

    The surveys were conducted with likely voters between October 24 and November 24. 2 and surveyed 7,879 likely voters in the battleground states with a margin of error of ±3.5% in each state.

    Things to keep in mind about surveys

    The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the survey results to be representative of the entire population.

    When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to Pew Research Center.

    Pew also has found that most pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

    Contributing: James PowellUSA TODAY

    Eric Lagatta covers the latest news and trends for USA TODAY. Contact him at [email protected]

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