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    • Trump and Harris remain tied in the polls
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    Trump and Harris remain tied in the polls

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    With just two days before Election dayPolls suggest that the race between former president donald trump and Vice President Kamala Harris remains equal.

    National polls provide a snapshot of the country as a whole, with most national polls released Sunday suggesting either a tie between the candidates or Harris taking a narrow lead. As the campaigns enter their final hours, both Trump and Harris remain busy: Trump has rallies scheduled in Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgiawhile Harris made a Cameo on ‘SNL’ on Saturday night and has planned multiple stops in Michigan.

    In a surprising twist, a new Des Moines Record/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows Harris leading Trump in Iowa by three points, a state that previously went for Trump in 2016 and 2020.

    Here are the latest polls that suggest where the race is.

    2024 Election Live Updates: Harris and Trump meet in swing states with 2 days left; new surveys

    Harris leads Trump in Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll

    The survey of 808 likely Iowa voters, which includes those who have already voted and those who say they definitely plan to vote, was released on Saturday night and directed by Selzer & Co. from Oct. 28-31.

    Harris leads Trump by 47% to 44% among likely voters in Iowa, according to the poll, which has a margin of error of ±3.4 points.

    This follows a Iowa September Poll which showed Trump with a four-point lead over Harris and a June Iowa Pollwhere he had an 18-point lead over President Joe Biden, who was the presumptive Democratic nominee at the time.

    “It’s hard for anyone to say they saw it coming,” pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co, told the Des Moines Register, part of the USA TODAY Network. “She has clearly jumped into a leadership position.”

    Trump and Harris tied, according to final NBC News poll

    Nationally, Trump and Harris are tied, with both winning the support of 49% of registered voters in a new poll released Sunday by NBC News.

    He survey of 1,000 registered voters took place from October 30 to November 30. 2 with a margin of error of ± 3.10 points. It shows that both Harris and Trump have 49% in a head-to-head matchup. Only 2% of voters surveyed in face to face confrontation They said they weren’t sure who to vote for.

    The November survey shows similar results from a October NBC News Pollwhich also showed Harris and Trump tied at 48% each.

    Trump and Harris also tied in the latest Emerson poll

    A national survey of likely voters Emerson University found that Trump and Harris each have 49% support among American voters. The poll also found that 1% support a third-party candidate and 1% remain undecided just two days before Election Day.

    The survey, conducted from October 30 to November 30. 2 took a sample of 1,000 likely voters and had a margin of error of ± 3 points.

    “The final Emerson College national popular vote poll, which does not take into account the Electoral College, points to an incredibly close race,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said in the poll results. “The gender divide is stark: Women favor Harris by 12 points and men support Trump by the same margin.”

    In the poll, 50% of voters expect Trump to be the next president, while 49% expect Harris to win. And when it comes to favorability ratings, Harris took the lead: 50% had a favorable opinion of Harris, while 48% had a favorable opinion of Trump.

    Harris leads Trump in some swing states, New York Times/Siena poll finds

    A survey published Sunday by The New York Times and Siena College found that Harris has pulled ahead of Trump in North Carolina and Wisconsin. Trump remains in the lead in Arizona and the candidates remain in a close race in Michigan, Georgia and Pennsylvania.

    Trump leads Harris in Arizona 49% to 45%. In Georgia, the poll found Harris leading 48% to Trump’s 47%, 48%-46% in North Carolina and 49%-47% in Nevada.

    The candidates won 48% each in Pennsylvania and 47% each in Michigan.

    The survey was conducted from October 24 to November 24. 2 and surveyed 7,879 likely voters in battleground states. The margin of error was ±1.3 points in the battleground states and ±3.5 points in each state survey.

    ABC News/Ipsos poll: Harris leads Trump by 3 points

    A survey published Sunday by ABC News/Ipsos found that Harris has 49% support among likely voters, and Trump trails with 46%.

    The survey was conducted among a random national sample of 3,140 adults, including likely voters from October 29 to November 29. 1 It had a margin of error of ± 2 points for the full sample and for likely voters, and ± 5 points for likely voters in swing states: Arizona, Georgia. Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

    Things to keep in mind about surveys

    The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the survey results to be representative of the entire population.

    When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to Pew Research Center.

    Pew also has found that most pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

    Contributing: Brianne Pfannenstiel, Des Moines Register.

    Sakege
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