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Harris and Trump practically tied in Michigan
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Harris and Trump practically tied in Michigan

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A new poll of likely Michigan voters by Suffolk University/USA Today showed a tie heading into next Tuesday’s presidential election between Republican former President Donald Trump and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris.

Michigan is one of the few swing states expected to decide the outcome of the election, along with Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Democratic President Joe Biden won Michigan in 2020 over Trump, who scored a victory in the state in 2016.

The most recent polls have shown the race in Michigan to be a virtual tie between the two major party candidates.

The new poll showed Trump ahead of Harris by 47.4% to 47%, well within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points. In this survey of 500 Michiganders, the difference represents only two voters.

Green Party candidate Jill Stein and former Natural Law Party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who dropped out of the race but remains on the ballot, each received 1.4%, independent Cornel West received 1% and Libertarian Chase Oliver received 0.2%. Independent Joseph Kishore also got 0.2%.

Only 1.4% of respondents said they were undecided or refused to answer. Suffolk University surveyed people between last Thursday and Sunday.

In the race for Michigan’s open Senate seat, the poll also indicated that Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin of Holly led former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers of White Lake, 47.2% to 45.5%, also within the margin of error. Nearly 5% of respondents in that race were still undecided.

Poll results in the presidential race found a wide and nearly equal gap between voters of different genders, with women favoring Harris 57% to 38% and men favoring Trump 57% to 37%. White voters split 53% to 43% in favor of the former Republican president and black voters split 82% to 15% in favor of the Democratic vice president, who, if elected, would become the first woman , the first black woman and the first woman of South Asian descent to win the presidency. become president.

While both Democrats and Republicans gave widespread support (over 92%) to their party’s candidate, self-described independent voters were spread much more evenly, with Harris leading slightly between 46% and 42%. %.

For the survey, Suffolk University also oversampled Kent County, a key county in western Michigan, which Biden won by 6 percentage points in 2020. The results showed Harris leading there by 1 percentage point, 47 .3%-46.3%. To get those results, 300 likely Kent County voters were surveyed and the margin of error was plus or minus 5.65 percentage points.

Contact Todd Spangler: [email protected]. Follow him on Twitter@tsspangler.