2024 US Presidential Election: In NBC News’ latest national poll on the 2024 US presidential race, Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump are tied, each with the support of 49% of registered voters. Only 2% of voters remain undecided, highlighting the polarized nature of the electorate ahead of the election.

Harris’s support has been boosted by growing Democratic enthusiasm, particularly on the abortion issue, where she has a 20-point lead over Trump. In addition, she is considered the candidate who “looks after the middle class” most effectively. By contrast, Trump is encouraged by voter dissatisfaction, with two-thirds of respondents saying the country is “going in the wrong direction,” along with a positive retrospective view of his presidency compared to Joe Biden’s current performance. . Trump maintains a double-digit lead over Harris on economic issues, including managing the cost of living.

The NBC News poll was conducted from Oct. 30 to Nov. 2, surveyed 1,000 registered voters, and has a margin of error of ±3.1 percentage points.

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US presidential election 2024: gender, demographic and issue-based divisions that will decide the fate of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump

The poll indicates a substantial gender split: Women prefer Harris by a 16-point margin (57%-41%), while men favor Trump by 18 points (58%-40%). This 34-point gender gap exceeds the 30-point gap recorded in October, which shows the widening of different demographic alignments. According to NBC, analysts Jeff Horwitt of Hart Research Associates and Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies noted, “Each side is as locked in as they can be and isn’t budging or budging.”

In an expanded vote that includes third-party candidates, Trump has 47% and Harris 46%, with 7% supporting other candidates or remaining undecided. In hypothetical scenarios, even minor changes in turnout among key demographic groups could alter the outcome. Slightly higher turnout among men, white voters and voters without a college degree could give Trump a 50% to 48% lead. By contrast, higher turnout among women, college-educated white voters and voters of color could boost Harris by 50% to 47% according to the NBC News poll.

Both candidates show significant support from different demographic groups. Harris has overwhelming support among black voters (87%-9%), young voters under 30 (57%-41%), and college-educated white voters (55%-43%). Meanwhile, Trump leads among rural voters (75%-23%), white voters (56%-42%), and white voters without a college degree (64%-34%).

Issue-based differences are also stark: Harris leads on abortion by 20 points and has a nine-point lead on middle-class issues (51%-42%). Trump, however, has a strong lead on economic issues, including managing the cost of living (52%-40%) and immigration, where he maintains a 25-point lead.

The poll underscores the challenging environment for Harris, with Biden’s approval rating at 41% to 58% disapproval. When asked about their concerns, 41% of voters are concerned that Harris will continue Biden’s policies, while 40% are concerned that Trump will replicate his first-term approach, the NBC News poll reported. Additionally, Trump’s job approval among voters stands at 48%, slightly higher than Biden’s.

A significant 54% of registered voters have already cast their ballots, and another 11% plan to vote early. Among early voters, Harris leads by seven points (53%-46%), a narrower lead than Biden had in 2020. By contrast, Trump has a 16-point lead among voters who intend to vote on election day (56%-40%). %).

Regardless of the final outcome, 60% of voters believe the United States will remain divided after the election, reflecting the intense polarization evident in the poll results.