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What are the undecided states? See past polls and results from 7 key states

Sakege November 5, 2024

The eyes of the nation are ready to focus on the seven swing states that could decide the 2024 presidential election as the race reaches its final hours.

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump have swept the states and made their final speeches to crucial voters who could take them to the White House.

Recent surveys in Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Snowfall and Arizona sample tight races across election battlefields.

A possible unexpected tipping state was revealed on Saturday when a Des Moines Record/Mediacom Iowa Poll showed Harris ahead of Trump in Iowa by three points, although the result is within the poll’s margin of error. The state had been considered a safe state for Trump before the survey.

Here’s what you need to know about swing states as the dawn of Election Day approaches.

Undecided state polls, past election results

Below are some recent polls conducted in the battleground states, with the dates they were conducted, the sample size and their margin of error, as well as the last two election results in each state.

Arizona

Past election results:

2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 49% to 45.5%
2020 Presidential Election Results: Biden defeated Trump 49.4% to 49.1%

Georgia

Past election results:

2016 presidential election results: triumph Hillary Clinton 51% to 45.9%
2020 Presidential Election Results: joe biden defeated Trump 49.5% to 49.3%

Michigan

Past election results:

2016 presidential election results: Trump defeated Clinton 47.6% to 47.4%
2020 Presidential Election Results: Biden defeated Trump between 50.6% and 47.8%

Snowfall

Past election results:

2016 presidential election results: Clinton beat Trump 47.9% to 45.5%
2020 Presidential Election Results: Biden defeated Trump by 50.1% to 47.7%

North Carolina

Past election results:

2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 50.5% to 46.8%
2020 Presidential Election Results: Trump beat Biden by 50.1% to 48.7%

Pennsylvania

Past election results:

2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 48.6% to 47.9%
2020 Presidential Election Results: Biden beat Trump by 50% to 48.8%

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Wisconsin

Past election results:

2016 presidential election results: Trump defeated Clinton 47.8% to 47%
2020 Presidential Election Results: Biden beat Trump by 49.6% to 48.9%

Things to keep in mind about surveys

The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the survey results to be representative of the entire population.

When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to Pew Research Center.

Pew also has found that most pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.