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    • Election Day 2024 Predictions: Who Will Win Tomorrow
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    Election Day 2024 Predictions: Who Will Win Tomorrow

    Sakege Posted on

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    Only one more dream is missing Election day.

    The race for the Oval Office is close, with national surveys showing Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump side by side. in floridaIt’s a completely different story as Trump overtakes Harris.

    This is what polls and odds Let’s say now when there is one day left until election day.

    When will the election results be announced?

    Not on election dayat least not the official results of the presidential elections.

    Vote counting has never been completed on Election Day in any state at any time in the nation’s history. David Beckerthe executive director of the nonpartisan Center for Election Research and Innovation told USA TODAY.

    When are the election results announced? How it played out in previous presidential elections

    Most of the results the public gets on election night come from in-person voting and early in-person voting that day, along with pre-processed mail-in ballots in states that allow that to happen. This year, state and local certification deadlines range from two days after Nov. 5 to more than a month.

    Things to keep in mind about surveys

    The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the survey results to be representative of the entire population, USA TODAY reports.

    When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to Pew Research Center.

    Pew also has found that most pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

    Who now leads the polls and is favored by the odds?

    Polls and odds are constantly changing. These numbers were reflected as of Monday, November 4, 2024 at 1 p.m.

    270towin

    270towinA website that offers an interactive map of the Electoral College shows that Harris currently leads Trump by 1.1%.

    However, the website survey for florida shows Trump leading Harris by 7 points.

    ABC News 538 Project

    ABC News 538 Project shows Harris with a 47.9% to 47% lead over Trump.

    According to ABC News, the website provides an updated average for each candidate in the 2024 presidential polls, taking into account each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and internal effects.

    Poll averages are adjusted based on state and national polls.

    realclear survey

    realclear surveya website that shares updated 2024 election polls, shares that the betting odds are currently in Trump’s favor with a difference of +0.1.

    Reuters/Ipsos

    An October 29 survey conducted by Reuters/Ipsos shows that Harris has a 1 point lead over Trump.

    “The three-day poll, completed Sunday, showed the race was effectively tied heading into the Nov. 5 election. The poll had a margin of error of about three percentage points in either direction,” the poll states.

    Center for Public Opinion Research (CPOR) at Stetson University

    What are the polls like in Florida? According Stetson University SurveyTrump has a notable lead over Harris among likely Florida voters.

    The poll, conducted between October 25 and November 1, revealed that Trump leads by 7 points, securing the support of 53% of likely voters compared to 46% for Harris.

    The poll surveyed 452 likely voters, with results weighted by age, ethnicity, race, gender, education, party affiliation and geography to reflect the state’s historical voting patterns. The survey has a credibility interval of +/- 5%.

    Allan Lichtman reveals his 2024 presidential pick

    Presidential historian Allan Lichtman is a distinguished professor of history at American University and has predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election over former President Donald Trump.

    According to USA TODAY, Lichtman uses a set of 13 “keys” to make his choices, ranging from economic indicators to the candidates’ charisma.

    Lichtman, 77, has correctly predicted the outcome of almost every election in the last half century, except for 2000, in which Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.

    When is election day?

    Election Day is Tuesday, November 5.

    Polls will be open from 7 am to 7 pm in your time zone. Voters still in line at 7 p.m. will be allowed to cast their ballot for as long as needed.

    Where to Vote in Florida: Where is the 2024 Election Day polling place near me?

    Here is a list of each Florida county and their corresponding congressional district lookup links, taken from Voter.org:

    This story was recently updated to correct a typo.

    Contributing: Raquel Barbero and Rebeca MorinUSA TODAY

    Sakege
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