Trump rises 1.1 points in Five Thirty Eight survey averageand leads by one point, 50% to 49%, in the latest Emerson College/The Hill pre-election swing state. survey It came out on Monday (margin of error 3.4 points).

Harris has a rare 48% to 47% lead among likely voters in a New York Times/Siena survey released Sunday (margin of error 3.5 points), although three other polls from the past week show Trump with a lead, and he also leads the poll averages.

Trump is up between 50% and 48% in a morning consultation poll of likely voters was released Sunday, and he is ahead 48% to 47% among likely voters in a CNN/SSRS poll. survey published on Thursday (margin of error 4.7 points).

Trump also leads Harris by 51% to 46% in a cooperative electoral study survey published last week (2,663 respondents, surveyed earlier this month as part of a national study sponsored by several universities).

Trump and Harris are tied at 49% among likely voters in a Marist survey published on October 24 (margin of error 3.9), while Trump leads Harris between 49.9% and 48.4% in a Bloomberg/Morning Consult report. survey posted on October 23, which also marks a nearly close race given the three-point margin of error.

Until Biden’s victory in Georgia in 2020 by just under 12,000 votes, the state had not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1992, but Georgia has moved into swing state status over the past decade as Democrats have improved its margins in federal and state elections.

Georgia’s shift from red to purple is widely attributed to diversification in the Atlanta metro area, where the population grew 15% between 2010 and 2020, while the white population fell 2%, according to the most recent study. census data.

Hillary Clinton won eight of 10 suburban Atlanta counties in the 2016 presidential election despite losing statewide, and former Rep. Stacy Abrams and President Joe Biden won most of the suburbs by even wider margins than Clinton in the 2018 gubernatorial campaign and the 2020 presidential election, respectively, according to FiveThirtyEight analysis—reflective of a broader national shift to the left among suburban voters.

Georgia Senators Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock also flipped Georgia Senate seats from red to blue in 2020, further cementing the state’s battleground status.