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See where the presidential hopefuls have been • Michigan Advance
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See where the presidential hopefuls have been • Michigan Advance

With campaign calendars approaching the final hours of the presidential election, Vice President Kamala Harris is on track to significantly surpass former President Donald Trump in the number of events each candidate has held in Michigan.

Harris has held 22 events in Michigan since becoming the Democratic presidential nominee after President Joe Biden ended his re-election campaign on July 21. Those events were divided into 10 trips to the state.

In that same period, Trump has so far participated in 15 events and visited the state 10 times, with a final trip scheduled for Monday night, continuing the tradition of holding his final rally in Grand Rapids, where he also closed his campaign. of 2016. and 2020 campaigns.

Dante Chinni, director of the American Communities Project at Michigan State University, said the fact that Harris, 60, is embarking on an aggressive campaign schedule is likely due, at least in part, to the fact that she is more younger than Trump, 78, and Biden, 81. .

“I don’t think Biden would have been able to maintain that pace. So the only thing is there will be a lot more events for Harris than there would have been for Biden,” Chinni said. “And honestly, I think we’re seeing some of that catch up with Trump a little bit. … I know we all talked about how old Joe Biden was, which was correct; Joe Biden is very old. But Donald Trump is also very old and I think that is catching up to him a little bit.”

Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, 60, also surpasses U.S. Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio), 40, by holding 20 solo events and joining Harris at three events in seven trips, compared to 13 solo events for Vance and a joint appearance with Trump on 10 trips.

The two men are scheduled to make one final trip each to the state on Monday. Vance is scheduled to speak at an afternoon rally in Flint and Walz is scheduled to hold a rally in Detroit with his wife, Gwen Walz, and singer Jon Bon Jovi, which is expected to be part of a coordinated series of events broadcast live from seven places. key swing states for a national audience.

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While Trump has held rallies in Grand Rapids, Walker and Traverse City, Chinni said the campaign has deployed Vance primarily to the western side of the state.

“I think there is some sign in the data that Republicans think, or the Trump campaign, that Vance may be better off on the western side of the state, where the conservative nature of that part of the state has a little more religious tone. ”Chinni said. “Whereas Trump is actually saying more like, give me the factory workers, I’ll bring them out and get them excited.”

But while Harris and Walz have made more total statewide stops than Trump and Vance, the Democratic ticket has generally held fewer general admission rallies, relying instead on smaller gatherings with union members and voters across demographic groups. aim.

Only about a quarter of Harris-Walz campaign events have been open to the general public, compared to about three-quarters of Trump-Vance events.

In total, Trump will have held 10 rallies open to the general public, while Harris has held seven. Vance will have held 12 solo rallies, compared to Walz’s five solo rallies.

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That’s partly because Trump’s support largely comes from diffuse rural areas, making it easier to reach those voters by holding a rally in a nearby population center, Chinni said.

“He’s going to end up touring metropolitan areas because he wants a crowd,” Chinni said. “He’s not the type of person who hangs out in small groups.”

Harris, for her part, has focused on major cities (including Detroit, Grand Rapids, Flint, Lansing, Saginaw and Kalamazoo) in an effort to increase turnout in areas where voters are likely to go Democratic.

“It’s affecting parts of the state with larger African-American populations, which is perceived as kind of a weakness for her right now,” Chinni said. “You have to get the black vote, and I think there is some concern about black men in particular and trying to reach those voters.”

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No part of the state has received more attention than metro Detroit, with numerous visits from Harris, Walz, Vance and Trump.

“There are every reason in the world to go to Detroit,” Chinni said. “It’s the largest city in the state, it’s the largest county in the state, the metropolitan area is the largest media market in the state. And it turns out he’s friendly with Harris, too.”

In the final days of the campaign, Harris focused on visiting college campuses while in Michigan, hosting rallies in Ann Arbor on Oct. 28 and East Lansing on Sunday.

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“The key to her victory, in some ways, could be the participation of a large number of women between the ages of 18 and 29, who at this point are strongly Democratic,” Chinni said.

Michigan will end the election with a total of 100 campaign stops by each presidential and vice presidential candidate this year.

But while both campaigns have sent surrogates to the Upper Peninsula, neither presidential or vice presidential candidate has made the trip.

“If I had the time and it was the Harris campaign, I could spend the morning in Marquette,” Chinni said. “It’s really Democratic and the race is so close that you get 5,000 extra votes, who knows? “This is the kind of election that could make a difference.”

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