Pennsylvania: It couldn’t be closer: the candidates are tied at 48% in both the New York Times and Siena. survey (margin of error 3.5 points) and a Morning Consult survey, along with three other ties last week, while Harris is ahead by 50% to 48% in a Marist poll. survey and 48%-47% in a Washington Post surveyand is ahead between 49% and 48% in a large Cooperative electoral study poll, although Trump rose between 47% and 46% on a Wednesday Quinnipiac survey. Trump leads Harris by 0.2 points on FiveThirtyEight survey average.

North caroline: Harris leads 48% to 46% in a New York Times/Siena survey on Sunday (margin of error 3.5 points) and 48%-47% in a CNN/SSRS survey released Thursday (margin of error 4.5 points), although several other recent polls show Trump ahead, including one fox news survey conducted last week that shows him leading between 49% and 47% in a two-way race, while he leads between 50% and 48% in polls conducted by the Cooperative electoral study, Marist and Emerson University. five thirty eight average shows Trump with a 1.3 point lead.

Georgia: Harris is ahead 48% to 47% in the New York Times/Siena poll, while Trump is ahead 48% to 47% in Thursday’s poll. CNN/SSRS survey (margin of error 4.7), and is above a more substantial 51%-46% in the CES survey (2,663 respondents). Trump leads by 1.5 points on FiveThirtyEight survey average.

Michigan: Harris and Trump are tied at 47% in the New York Times/Siena surveyHarris is up three points, 51%-48%, in the Marist Party. surveywhile Trump has a rare advantage in a Washington Post Poll released Thursday showing him with a 47% to 45% lead among registered voters, although three other polls this week show Harris with a lead, including the fox news survey that found it up 48%-46% (although there is a tie at 49% without third parties), 51%-46% in the CES survey (2,336 respondents) and 48%-43% in the CNN/SSRS survey—while Trump leads 49% to 48% in a emerson survey published on Tuesday (margin of error 3 points). Harris wins 0.7 points in Michigan at FiveThirtyEight survey average.

Wisconsin: Harris is ahead 49% to 47% in the New York Times/Siena survey50%-48% at Marist survey50%-47% in the CES survey (1,542 respondents), 51%-45% in the CNN/SSRS survey and 50%-49% in a Marquette surveywhile Trump rises between 49% and 48% in an Emerson survey and the two candidates are tied at 48% in a Quinnipiac survey. Harris rises 0.8 points on FiveThirtyEight average.

Snowfall: The New York Times/Siena survey shows Harris leading Trump 49% to 46%, while Emerson survey released Friday found Harris ahead 48% to 47% (margin of error 3.6 points) and ahead 51% to 47% in the CES. survey (933 respondents), although Trump is ahead 48% to 47% on CNN/SSRS survey published on Tuesday (margin of error 4.6 points). Trump leads by 0.7 points on FiveThirtyEight survey average.

Arizona: Trump leads 49% to 45% in the New York Times/Siena surveyhas risen between 51% and 47% in the CES survey (2,066 respondents) and leads between 50% and 49% in a Marist survey. survey published October 24 (margin of error 3.7) and 49%-46% in a school Washington Post-Schar survey (margin of error 5), while Harris leads 48% to 47% in a CNN/SSRS poll released this week (margin of error 4.4). Trump rises 2.6 points on FiveThirtyEight survey average.