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New Presidential Election Polls Released in PA, MI, WI: View Results
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New Presidential Election Polls Released in PA, MI, WI: View Results

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Vice President Kamala Harris and former president donald trump are tied in two battleground states, with Trump ahead in one three new surveys released by Echelon Insights on Thursday.

Polls show the candidates tied in Michigan and Wisconsin, with Trump ahead in Pennsylvania. The three states are part of the “blue wall“, a collection of industrial midwestern states that have traditionally been part of Democratic victories but were key changes in Trump’s victory in 2016.

The three states have 44 electoral votes in the 2024 elections.

Each survey sampled 600 likely voters in the state from Oct. 27 to Oct. 30, with 80% of respondents via web text messaging and 20% of respondents via landline phone call.

He the race is still close There are five days left for campaigns to convince voters to make a decision. Both Harris and Triumph are scheduled to speak in Nevada, one of The seven states that could change the elections..

Here’s what you need to know about the latest surveys from Echelon Insights.

Trump leads Harris in Pennsylvania

Echelon discovered that Trump leads Harris by 6% in the face-to-face confrontation they surveyed, and by 5% when third parties were included.

The survey found that 92% of respondents were at least very motivated to vote and that 32% of respondents had already voted.

Fifty-eight percent of respondents said they disapproved President Joe Biden tenure, while 49% disapproved of Trump’s time in office.

The survey had a margin of error of ± 4.5%.

Harris and Trump tied in Michigan

The surveyor found that Harris and Trump are tied in Michigan, with 48% head-to-head and 47% when third parties are included.

The survey found that 93% of respondents were at least very motivated to vote and that 49% of respondents had already voted.

Most respondents said they disapproved of Biden and Trump’s tenure, with 56% disapproving of Biden’s and 50% disapproving of Trump’s.

The survey had a margin of error of ± 4.4%.

Harris and Trump tied in Wisconsin

The final survey published by Echelon found that Harris and Trump are also tied in Wisconsin 49% face to face and 48% when third parties are included.

The survey found that 95% of respondents were at least very motivated to vote and that 44% of respondents had already voted.

Respondents in Wisconsin disapproved of Biden and Trump’s tenure, with 54% and 51% of respondents expressing disapproval, respectively.

The survey had a margin of error of ± 4.5%.

Things to keep in mind about surveys

The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the survey results to be representative of the entire population.

When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to Pew Research Center.

Pew also has found that most pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.