TO donald trump The presidency is sure to have repercussions on the United Nations (UN), and the first to be cut could be its funding.

Currently, the UN depends on the United States for about a third of its budget. President Biden increased US financial contributions to the UN, increasing them from $11.6 billion in 2020 to $18.1 billion in 2022. This gives the new administration leeway to withhold funds from the UN if its global interests do not align with those of the United States, a notion some Republicans we have already pressed.

That year, the United States contributed approximately three times more than the next largest contributors: Germany, with $6.8 billion, and Japan, with $2.7 billion.

“They’re going to have to do a lot of recalibration again in the Trump administration, which, I think, will be much more attentive, engaged and vigilant of the U.N.,” predicted Hugh Dugan, a longtime member of the U.S. delegation to the U.N.

“There are teams that have been sleepwalking for the last few years without pressure from the United States on accountability, efficiency and effectiveness.”

Trump will be in office when international organization elects its next secretary general in 2026 and the United States will have veto power over any candidate.

“Over the next year and a half, there will be an effort to appear more managerially competent to avoid some of the stern green eyes sitting here, attention that Elon Musk and the Trump team will want to bring to the attention of the secretary’s selection. general.”

A Donald Trump presidency will surely have repercussions on the United Nations, and the first thing to be cut could be its funding. (Nicolas Kamm / AFP)

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Trump is also likely to once again withdraw the United States from the Paris Climate Accords and the United Nations Global Compact on Migration.

The UN depends particularly on the United States for its global aid programs. In 2022, it provided half of all contributions to the World Food Program and about a third of all contributions to the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees. United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA) and the International Organization for Migration.

“There is no doubt that the UN is scared and horrified” by Trump’s inauguration, said Hillel Neuer, executive director of UN Watch.

“We’re going to see budget cuts,” he said. “The most memorable is UNRWA.”

President Biden addresses the 79th United Nations General Assembly at UN Headquarters in New York City on September 24, 2024. (REUTERS/Caitlin Ochs)

Trump cut funding to organization that distributes aid to Palestinians in Gaza. Biden led the United States in restoring that aid and allocating $1 billion to UNRWA, before freezing it when some employees were revealed to have ties to Hamas.

“I would say that the Human Rights Office, which is based in Geneva, the UN Human Rights Council, the United States gives voluntary funding to that bureaucracy. I could see that being reduced,” Neuer said.

Some wonder if Trump and a Republican-led Congress could try to withdraw the United States from the UN entirely. The GOP-controlled House of Representatives passed a spending bill in June that would eliminate funding from the UN’s regular budget.

However, despite the adverse tone toward global institutions, Trump is not expected to stop dealing with the UN entirely. In his first administration, he enjoyed a good relationship with Secretary-General António Guterres, inviting him to the White House, and seemed to enjoy his annual address to the General Assembly and the pageantry of world leaders roaming around the new york city headquarters.

“He became very personally involved there. And during the opening of the General Assembly, he brought the White House there, frankly, and lived there for that week every year and operated. He recognizes the value of the organization, if simply as a meeting place “Dugan said.

The race to replace United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres will take place in 2026. (REUTERS/Mike Segar)

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Trump could also try to lobby candidates for leadership of agencies like UNICEF and the World Food Program that challenge UN orthodoxy and encourage American employment across the agency to counter China’s growing influence.

China doubled the number of its citizens employed at the UN to almost 15,000 between 2009 and 2021.

“When I worked in the White House, the Trump administration was keenly aware that China is increasing its influence in subtle and not-so-subtle ways throughout the organization, providing it with a globalized platform of legitimacy that it is ready and willing to exploit for its national purposes.” Dugan said.

“The United States needs to study the organizational terrain better and identify, in particular, the key positions and influential offices that we need to bring our best talent to and make sure we are effective. The Chinese have been doing very well. “

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Furthermore, although the Biden administration opposed a series of UN resolutions that attacked Israel, Naturally, it is more supportive of international organizations as a whole.