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Rankings and contract predictions for MLB’s top 40 free agents
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Rankings and contract predictions for MLB’s top 40 free agents

SAN ANTONIO – Contrary to popular belief, Juan Soto is far from the only star free agent. In fact, it’s a pretty well-rounded class, very strong in starting pitching and solid at most positions. Here’s our top 40, with contract predictions (based on conversations with expert consultants).

1.Juan Soto: With almost all the teams from the major markets involved, including mets and Starting Yankeeswill get the most valuable contract in history considering Shohei Ohtani’s $700 million deal is valued at $437.4 million (union valuation) due to $680 million in deferrals. At least the Dodgers, Giants, Blue Jays, Red Sox and the surprising Rays are also in the biggest derby. 630 million dollars, 14 years.

Nearly every big-market MLB team will participate in the Juan Soto free agency sweepstakes. Charles Wenzelberg / New York Post

2. Corbin Burnes: One of the most consistent and long-lasting starters that exist. He didn’t pitch to strike out this year, but he was just as effective. The Orioles will try to keep him, but it will likely be difficult with at least the Yankees, Mets and other big teams involved. Every high-revenue team in the American League East, plus the Giants and Dodgers, is expected to play for the Southern California product. $210 million, 7 years.

3. Willy Adames: The athletic shortstop will aspire to more than $200 million. The Dodgers, Giants and Braves were among the pursuers in trade discussions. Willingness to move to 3B could help their market. 180 million dollars, 7 years.

4. Alex Bregman: Great second half (17 of 26 home runs came in the last three months), plus a good postseason record and an excellent reputation as an all-around player. He would consider leaving Houston (unlike teammate José Altuve), but there’s a good chance the Astros will do everything they can to keep him. 170 million dollars, 7 years.

The Astros will likely do everything they can to keep Alex Bregman in free agency. fake images

5. Max Fried: His 139 ERA+ is eighth best of all time. The Yankees, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Orioles, Mets, Cubs, Giants and hometown Dodgers are likely players. The Red Sox need a lefty. 166 million dollars, 6 years.

6. Blake Snell: He has a much improved market after a second consecutive great season and an especially great second half. There’s a good chance he’ll end up back in San Francisco. The Yankees, Dodgers and Red Sox are places that also make sense. 160 million dollars, 5 years.

7.Pete Alonso: Tough and determined, he is coming off a great postseason performance. The current Mets are logical since he is a beloved and homegrown player, but the Yankees and others have interest. One problem: Teams don’t like to spend as much as they used to on 1B. Matt Chapman’s six-year, $151 million contract could help compensate. (And maybe Chapman’s Giants will finally make sense.) $152 million, 6 years.

8. Antonio Santander: He has great power and is a great guy in the dressing room. Eight teams are already in, including many that shoot first for Soto. 100 million dollars, 5 years.

9. Jack Flaherty: The supposed lower back problem didn’t bother Fried’s high school teammate in big starts against the Mets and Yankees. He took a big step forward this year as he tries to regain his 2019-21 form. 80 million dollars, 4 years.

10. Sean Manaea: He will turn down the qualifying offer and cash after his very good year and great second half in Queens. But he loves New York and he and the Mets are talking. The Orioles (and others) have also been fans. 72 million dollars, 4 years.

Sean Manaea loved his year in New York City pitching for the Mets. Charles Wenzelberg/New York Post

11. Yusei Kikuchi: Huge second half in Houston is making for a very big market after a weak start in Toronto. The Astros are trying, but it seems more likely that he will end up somewhere else. 68 million dollars, 4 years.

12. Teóscar Hernández: He made it clear that he wants to return to Los Angeles during his outstanding postseason run. (Who wouldn’t?) His one-year contract worked and greatly improved his status. 60 million dollars, 3 years.

13. Christian Walker: The Diamondbacks surely want him back. Although he did not have a great finish, he is an outstanding player in all aspects. 60 million dollars, 3 years.

14. Tanner Scott: His popularity at the trade deadline provided an indication of what kind of market he should have. Any big-market team could make sense for this top-tier closer. 54 million dollars, 4 years.

15. Luis Severino: The Mets made the right decision by extending the qualifying offer, which he seems likely to decline. It is also a great asset to any clubhouse. 48 million dollars, 3 years.

16. Nate Eovaldi: The veteran starter is also beloved in every clubhouse he calls home. The Braves and the current Rangers are among the interested parties. 40 million dollars, 2 years.

17. Walker Buehler: The Dodgers don’t make mistakes, but did they do him a favor by not giving him the qualifying offer, thus not giving draft pick compensation to a team that signs him? They considered it, but they have a lot of great starters returning and maybe aiming even higher than this World Series hero. 40 million dollars, 2 years.

Walker Buehler emerged as a World Series hero for the Dodgers in 2024. Corey Sipkin for NY POST

18. Tyler O’Neill. Here’s another guy who left St. Louis and improved his position with a very good year in Boston. 39 million dollars, 3 years.

19. Jeff Hoffman. The Mets hit the Phillies reliever, but almost no one else did. He certainly has the ability to close. 36 million dollars, 3 years.

20. Nick Pivetta: He has a solid market and could get a deal done quickly after Boston makes him the qualifying offer. 34 million dollars, 2 years.

21. Carlos Estevez: This 100 mph pitcher in the Phillies bullpen also got hit by the Queens team (Francisco Lindor anyway). 33 million dollars, 3 years.

Phillies reliever Carlos Estevez pitches during a playoff game against the Mets. fake images

22. Gleyber Torres: In fact, it was pretty good from the second half onwards. You might end up doing a “pillow deal” (one year reboot), but maybe two is a good compromise. The Giants, Blue Jays, Mariners and Royals are among the teams that could work. 32 million dollars, 2 years.

23. Clay Holmes: Once out of the closer role, he looked very good. A little bit of bad luck this year. 30 million dollars, 3 years.

24. Kirby Yates: He was absolutely brilliant in the Rangers bullpen. Age (38 at the start of next season) is the only negative aspect. 28 million dollars, 2 years.

25. Jurickson Profar: We have to think the Padres will find a way to keep him after his big year. 26 million dollars, 2 years.

Jurickson Profar singles during a playoff game against the Dodgers on October 9. Images by Denis Poroy-Imagn

26. Joc Pederson: His October record stands, as does a good season in Arizona. 22 million dollars, 2 years.

27. Nick Martinez: It seems likely that the right-handed starter will accept the Reds’ qualifying offer. $21.05 million, 1 year.

28. Frankie Montas. He never reached his full potential and had an up-and-down season with the Reds. 22 million dollars, 2 years.

29. José Quintana: He showed a lot of his old self in the second half. 22 million dollars, 2 years.

30. Shane Bieber: The Guardians make sense to retain the former Cy Young winner. 20 million dollars, 2 years.

31. Matthew Boyd: He turned his career around in Cleveland. 20 million dollars, 2 years.

32. Ha-Seong Kim: The Padres’ fantastic midfield defender is said to be very popular on the market. The Giants and Dodgers are among many that make sense. 20 million dollars, 2 years.

Middle infielder Ha-Seong Kim could have plenty of options to choose from in free agency. fake images

33. Kyle Higashioka: A big power boost for the Padres in October doesn’t hurt. 16 million dollars, 2 years.

34. Tommy Kahnle: Take out those three hitters against Los Angeles and it’s going to be a great year. 16 million dollars, 2 years.

35. Paul Goldschmidt: If he can have one or two more good years, he’ll be a Hall of Fame candidate. 13 million dollars, 1 year.

36. Max Scherzer: You don’t need the money, but you do need the desire. 12 million dollars, 1 year.

37. Justin Verlander: He didn’t pitch much this season, but he has to do the same as Scherzer. 12 million dollars, 1 year,

38. Álex Verdugo: Well, we know it won’t be Boston. 12 million dollars, 1 year.

39. Michael Conforto: He had a solid season with the Giants, but could benefit from a one-year deal. 11 million dollars, 1 year.

40. David Robertson: It feels like I’m going to pitch forever. 10 million dollars, 1 year.