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Latest polls on Trump vs. Harris
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Latest polls on Trump vs. Harris

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As Polling stations are open throughout the United States.the race for the white house anyone can win according to the latest batch of national polls.

Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris remain locked in an extraordinarily close fight for the presidency after each candidate They spent the last hours of their campaigns trying to win over voters in key swing states. Now that Election Day has arrived, Americans from coast to coast will make their voices heard at the polls.

Inform many voter options It’s probably your views on who is best to handle the economy, immigration, abortion and threats to democracy: key issues that have been on Americans’ minds in survey after survey.

Here’s what to know about the latest national polls as Americans head to cast your votes:

Harris has narrow lead over Trump in Ipsos poll

Vice President Harris leads the former President Trump by 2 percentage points in the latest Ipsos Core political poll released on Monday.

The poll of 1,242 adults showed Harris leading Trump 50% to 48% as the election finish line approaches. Conducted from Friday to Sunday, the survey had a margin of error of three percentage points.

In terms of issues, 42% of respondents prefer former President Donald Trump’s approach to the economy and foreign conflicts, while 45% say he is the best at handling the issue of immigration. Meanwhile, 42% of voters surveyed prefer Harris’s approach to health care, while 39% say she would be better at handling political extremism or threats to democracy.

While a majority of Americans, 57%, say they disapprove of the way President Joe Biden is handling his job, only 48% say the same about Vice President Harris. And, when it comes to favorability, slightly more Americans (45%) say they have a generally favorable opinion of Harris than of Trump (42%). Harris’s net favorability (-5%) is also higher than Trump’s net favorability (-12%). %) among all Americans.

Trump has narrow lead over Harris in final TIPP poll

The race is even closer in the final TIPP monitoring survey released Tuesday, which showed Trump with just a 0.3-point lead over Harris.

The survey of 1,863 likely voters found that Trump leads Harris by 48.6% to 48.3%. Conducted online from Saturday to Monday, the survey has a margin of error of 2.3 points.

“Voters who decide late often lean more toward the challenger than the incumbent, potentially giving Trump an advantage on the final day, a common trend among undecided voters who harbor doubts about the incumbent administration,” noted the survey.

Harris leads Trump in latest national poll Marist/PBS/NPR

Harris has a four-point lead over Trump in the latest national poll released by Marist on Monday.

The survey of 1,297 likely voters, sponsored by NPR and PBS51% of respondents supported Harris, while 47% supported Trump. The remaining 2% supported a third-party candidate. The result is outside the survey’s ±3.5 percentage point margin of error.

The poll found that Harris significantly reduced Trump’s advantage among men nationally. Trump still leads among men in the survey by 51% to 47%, but in the previous edition of the survey, Trump had a 16-point lead. Harris leads among women in the survey 55%-45%, although his previous lead was 18 points.

“Harris is well positioned to win the popular vote for president, but he needs to navigate a narrow path to 270 in the Electoral College,” Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, said in the statement. the survey. . “Former President Trump’s candidacy is being held back by his high negative ratings among likely voters.”

Harris and Trump, deadlocked in Forbes/HarrisX poll

Harris and Trump are statistically tied in the last Forbes/HarrisX National Poll released Monday night.

Harris It has a very fine lead of 49% to 48%. about Trump among the 4,520 registered voters surveyed, with 3% preferring third-party candidates. When respondents were asked to choose only Between Harris and Trump, the vice president’s lead grew slightly to 49%-47%, with 4% undecided.

the survey It was taken online between October 30 and November 1 and has a margin of error of ±1%.

Price increases/inflation” was one of the most important issues for respondents, with 36% of respondents saying it was most important. Immigration and the economy They followed with 32% and 31% of respondents, putting them at the top of their list, respectively. Abortion It came in as the fourth most important issue, with 16% of respondents saying it was one of their top issues.

“The race will come down to turnout tomorrow, especially for Trump,” Dritan Nesho, CEO and chief pollster at HarrisX, an analytics firm with no ties to Kamala Harris, told Forbes. “Historically, Trump has topped the polls in both 2016 and 2020 due to his ability to get low-propensity voters to turn out and win over undecided voters who make a decision at the last minute.”

Things to keep in mind about surveys

The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the survey results to be representative of the entire population.

When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to Pew Research Center.

Pew also has found that most pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.