democratic candidate Kamala Harris He will be the next president of the United States and will defeat his Republican rival. donald trump on election day, or something like that election historian and forecaster Alan Lichtman still predicts.

Known for correctly predicting the results of the last nine of the ten presidential elections, Lichtman said in his youtube channel Tuesday night that his prediction has not changed, even though Democratic candidate Harris’ lead in battleground states is narrowing and The polls are extremely close.

“Nothing has changed to change my prediction that I made on September 5,” Lichtman said, “defying the polls.”

Further: Polls for the 2024 presidential election: latest polls on Harris vs. Trump with 6 days left

Lichtman has be under fire for his predictions, particularly when political pollster Nate Silver last month called the American University modern history professor’s keys “totally arbitrary” in a post on X.

He highlighted on Tuesday the 13 keys that he uses to make his predictions have not changed and he criticized the survey prevalence in the media, saying that governing, rather than campaigning, is indicative of who will win the race for the White House in 2024.

Further: Why the historian who accurately predicts the election says the October surprise is a “myth”

“I don’t have a crystal ball, I’m not President Mike Johnson who believes he has a conduit to the Almighty, my system is based on history, it’s very solid, but it’s always possible, you can’t tell in “I can’t anticipate that there would be something so cataclysmic and unprecedented that it would break the pattern of history,” Lichtman said, but that “doesn’t mean my prediction is invalid.”

Lichtman’s son, Sam, interviewed his father during the 90-minute live video, where the election forecaster argued that democracy itself is at stake in this year’s race for the White House.

Before every election, Lichtman said he gets butterflies, but this year is different.

“I have a flock of crows in my stomach,” he said.

This article originally appeared in the Zanesville Times Recorder: Despite tight polls, historian Allan Lichtman says Harris will win