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Who will win the elections? AI predicts the electoral college map
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Who will win the elections? AI predicts the electoral college map

vice president Kamala Harris is on track to narrowly win the 2024 presidential election, according to a new analysis based on artificial intelligence (AI), with 276 Electoral College votes to 262 of Republican rival donald trump.

British betting company Bonus Code Bets applied for ChatGPT, an artificial intelligence language model developed by OpenAIto assess which candidate would win each state based on publicly available polling information, demographics, and historical election results. He concluded that Harris would win the key states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada, but lose Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.

Recent polls suggest the 2024 presidential election remains too close to call, with a model by election aggregator FiveThirtyEight giving Harris a 1.4-point lead with 48.1 percent of the vote, versus 46.7 percent for Trump.

However, due to the Electoral College system, a candidate can win the popular vote but lose the election, as Hillary Clinton he did in 2016, and FiveThirtyEight gives Trump a 52 percent chance of winning overall, to Harris’ 48 percent.

For its analysis, Bonus Code Bets told ChatGPT to “predict how each state will vote in the 2024 presidential election, using all available information, including polling information, demographic data, as well as looking at past results and relevant events in the state during the current campaign.” “.

Harris’ 14-vote lead in the Electoral College would be the third-closest in American history, after Rutherford B. Hayes’ 1876 victory by one vote and George W. BushThe 2000 defeat of Al-Gore by five votes. However, if Trump wins Pennsylvania or Michigan, with 19 and 15 Electoral College votes respectively, it would be enough to give him victory, according to the model.

Electoral university map
A map made by Bonus Code Bets showing which candidate ChatGPT believes will win each state on November 5th based on indications. Overall, he predicted that Kamala Harris would win by 14 Electoral College votes.

BonusCodeBets.com

news week Representatives from the Harris and Trump presidential election campaigns were contacted for comment via email Wednesday outside of regular office hours.

talking to news weekA spokesperson for Bonus Code Bets said: “For years, opinion polls have been used to indicate the outcome of elections, but new technology provides new ways to predict results.

“And having such a powerful AI tool look at the entire campaign and still predict that Kamala Harris will win in just one state shows how close this election will be.”

In its analysis, Bonus Code Bets emphasized the importance of major cities to the victories it predicts for Harris in both Michigan and Pennsylvania.

Referring to ChatGPT, the company said: “In Michigan, while Trump is likely to control rural areas, which are Republican strongholds, he supports Harris relying on key Democratic strongholds in cities like Detroit and Ann Arbor to maintain her blue shift. .

“Similarly, Pennsylvania is expected to vote marginally for Kamala despite Donald’s strong support in the Rust Belt region, based on votes from the big cities of Pittsburgh and Philadelphia.”

Who wins the elections? AI electoral college map
Composite image of Kamala Harris, Donald Trump and a laptop. An analysis of the 2024 presidential election using AI concluded that Harris is on track to win by a margin of 14 Electoral College votes…


Newsweek/Getty photo illustration

Tuesday president joe biden sparked controversy after appearing to describe Trump supporters are “trash” in a Zoom call. However, speaking with news weekWhite House spokesman Andrew Bates insisted that he had been referring specifically to the “hateful rhetoric that emerged from the Madison Square Garden rally.”

It came after comedian Tony Hinchcliffe sparked controversy on Sunday by describing Puerto Rico as a “floating garbage island” when speaking in front of Trump at the former president’s rally at Madison Square Garden in New York.

Despite the controversy, Trump’s chances of winning on November 5 have diminished. improved in the last 24 hoursaccording to several leading bookmakers. On Tuesday, both Bet365 and Paddy Power were offering odds of 1-2 (66.7 percent) on a Trump victory, but this had been reduced to 10-21 (67.7 percent) and 4-9 ( 69.2 percent), respectively, at 4 a.m. ET on Wednesday.