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    • Is Trump or Harris winning in the polls? 1 week until election day
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    Is Trump or Harris winning in the polls? 1 week until election day

    Sakege Posted on

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    Election day There is just one week left, with presidential candidates Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump sitting side by side in the final stretch of the election cycle.

    The latest polls show very narrow margins and a incredibly close race As the candidates spend the final days of the election campaigning, this time with a increased focus on swing states: Organize rallies, give interviews, make appearances and court voters with just a week until Election Day on November 5.

    All polls contain some margin of error while offering a glimpse of how the presidential election could play out.

    Who wins in the polls? This is what the data shows.

    Who is ahead in Ohio right now?

    As of October 29, Trump has a 51.9% lead, 8.4 percentage points ahead of Harris, who is trailing 43.4% according to recent polling data from fivethirtyeight.

    The site provides an updated average for each candidate in the 2024 presidential election, taking into account the recency of each poll, sample size, methodology, and internal effects. Poll averages are adjusted based on state and national polls.

    Are Kamala Harris or Donald Trump winning in the polls and favored by the odds?

    • ABC News 538 Project shows Harris leading in national polls by 48.1% over Trump by 46.7%, or 1.4%, a narrower margin once again this week. This compares to Harris (48.2%) over Trump (46.4%) last week and Harris (48.5%) over Trump (46.1%) two weeks ago. Before that, the poll had Harris (48.5%) over Trump (45.9%) three weeks ago, Harris ahead 48.5% to 45.8% over Trump four weeks ago, and Harris (48.5%) .3%) ahead of Trump (45.6%) five weeks ago. .
    • 270 to win shows Harris leading national polls with 0.7% a week before Election Day, compared to 1.8% over Trump last week. Previously, the site had Harris over Trump by 2.5% two weeks ago, Harris ahead of Trump by 2.8% three weeks ago, a Harris lead of 3.7% four weeks ago, and Harris over Trump by 3% five weeks ago.
    • RealClear Survey favors Trump by 0.1% over Harris, a change from last week, when Harris was favored by 0.9% over Trump. Previously, the RCP favored Harris by 1.4% two weeks ago, Harris by 2.0% three weeks ago, Harris by 1.8% over Trump four weeks ago, and Harris over Trump by 2.3%. five weeks ago.

    Harris vs. Trump 2024 Presidential Election Betting Odds

    Polymarketto cryptocurrency trading platform showing odds based on betting trendsfavors Trump (66.5%) over Harris (33.4%), a much larger margin from last week’s numbers with Trump (61.4%) over Harris (38.6%).

    These are not election predictions, but changing probabilities based on each candidate’s betting behavior. Two weeks ago, Polymarket had Trump (56.9%) over Harris (42.6%). Before that, the site favored Trump over Harris by 7.5% three weeks ago, compared to Harris favoring Trump by 2% four weeks ago, and Harris over Trump by 3% five weeks ago.

    Polls and odds are constantly changing. These numbers were reflected as of Monday, October 28, 2024.

    How accurate have polls or odds been in past elections?

    The betting favorite has only lost twice since 1866, according to The conversationa nonprofit news organization.

    He survey history is more challenging, as different pollsters asking different audiences can often get larger margins of error. According to Pew researchConfidence in public opinion polls has been shaken due to mistakes made in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. In both general elections, many polls underestimated the appeal of Republican Donald Trump.

    Allan Lichtman reveals his 2024 presidential pick

    Presidential historian Allan Lichtman77, is a distinguished professor of history at American University and has predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election over former President Donald Trump. He claims to use a set of 13 “keys” to make their choices, which range from economic indicators to the charisma of the candidates.

    Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of almost every election in the last half century, except for 2000, in which Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.

    When is Election Day 2024?

    Election day is Tuesday, November 5.

    Remaining voting dates in Ohio

    • October 29: Deadline for absentee ballot applications.
    • November 4: Absentee ballots returned by mail must be postmarked by this day.
    • November 5: Election day.
    • November 9: Absentee ballots mailed on or before November 4 must arrive at election boards by this day to be counted.

    Sakege
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